Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.174317 0.206011 0.241488 0.284092 0.333822 0.389987 0.458189
2025-08-10 0.121507 0.160435 0.208709 0.272786 0.355408 0.458143 0.595363
2025-08-17 0.090531 0.130055 0.183022 0.258820 0.364077 0.504594 0.705866
2025-08-24 0.074588 0.114860 0.172374 0.259881 0.388923 0.571330 0.847638
2025-08-31 0.060688 0.099405 0.157899 0.251836 0.397842 0.614769 0.959710
2025-09-07 0.052661 0.091122 0.152202 0.255079 0.422539 0.682411 1.113475
2025-09-14 0.045760 0.083310 0.145754 0.255644 0.442248 0.743559 1.262932
2025-09-21 0.039391 0.075247 0.137520 0.251715 0.453460 0.791498 1.395349
2025-09-28 0.034525 0.068999 0.131359 0.250197 0.468019 0.845733 1.543088
2025-10-05 0.032349 0.067359 0.133069 0.262718 0.508370 0.947661 1.783010
2025-10-12 0.030893 0.066856 0.136726 0.279135 0.557426 1.069513 2.070296
2025-10-19 0.028730 0.064574 0.136610 0.288167 0.593379 1.170815 2.329623
2025-10-26 0.025495 0.059768 0.131284 0.287116 0.611520 1.244289 2.551599
2025-11-02 0.021803 0.053380 0.121864 0.276555 0.609681 1.279978 2.706337
2025-11-09 0.018401 0.047030 0.111535 0.262495 0.598580 1.295724 2.822613
2025-11-16 0.016602 0.044134 0.108359 0.263581 0.619724 1.379051 3.085909
2025-11-23 0.014435 0.039937 0.101562 0.255427 0.619350 1.416996 3.257348
2025-11-30 0.013238 0.037995 0.099783 0.258714 0.645166 1.513725 3.565619
2025-12-07 0.012028 0.035800 0.097050 0.259287 0.664649 1.598400 3.855899
2025-12-14 0.010735 0.033138 0.092740 0.255304 0.672652 1.657834 4.094988
2025-12-21 0.009706 0.031038 0.089566 0.253766 0.686420 1.731929 4.375648
2025-12-28 0.009372 0.030922 0.091686 0.266457 0.737641 1.899944 4.896088
2026-01-04 0.009195 0.031258 0.095098 0.283097 0.801040 2.103733 5.523159